The end of Liverpool?

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Mourinho. Guardiola. Conte. Wenger. Klopp.

If there was an Expendables movie for football managers, it would surely include all five of these esteemed and widely respected managers, all of whom have a history of success at the top level. Yet whilst the movement of two of the most impressive managers of recent years, in Mourinho and Guardiola, to the Premier League is a spectacle for both the neutral observer and fans of competition teams alike, it may well herald the definitive end of any chances for Liverpool FC success in both the short and long term; thus the end of Liverpool as a European and footballing giant.

The end of Liverpool-

In economics, the basic principal of competition is meant to drive firms to become more efficient and generally better; but this model does not apply to the world of Premier League football. With the unparalleled spending power of both Manchester City and United, alongside the almost guaranteed success of Guardiola and Mourinho at the respective helms of either clubs, there is a potential for a dominance of the Premier League over the next few years that could potentially mirror that of Real Madrid and Barcelona in Spain; with clubs such as Liverpool – with relatively poorer finances and a less attractive proposition in terms of the current project (which looks to build a young and promising team on bargain buys) – arguably in a position where they could be left behind the competition and face a future challenging to just achieve European qualification. Whilst the two Manchester sides vie for European titles through their ability to construct teams of that quality through consistent and serious investment from their owners.

Those of the view that Liverpool are too big of a club to slide down the pecking order are deeply mistaken. The world of football waits for no-one. Aston Villa, a club with more Champions League trophies than Arsenal, Spurs and Manchester City combined have just been relegated – and over in Serie A, AC Milan, the team which less than a decade ago won their seventh major European title, and boasted a team with Thiago Silva, Ibrahimovic, Robinho, Seedorf etc., is not even in the qualifying rounds of the Europa League next season. Liverpool may have a truly impressive manager, and a fairly impressive group of forwards in the squad, but it pales in comparison to the potential forward line of AgĂĽero, Aubameyang, De Brunye and David Silva. Put simply, without serious investment there is no chance of Liverpool competing at the highest level, as the appointment of Klopp was meant to achieve.

FSG have undoubtedly invested in the club, but the extent to whether that is truly meaningful is debatable. Christian Benteke has been Liverpool’s most expensive signing under them, at ÂŁ32.5 million, which not only represents a misguided transfer policy, but an unwillingness to pay the price for players that will genuinely take the Liverpool team to a higher level. Liverpool have a track record on missing out on players, some of whom were not even world class names; Alex Teixeira for example, whilst he may have been offered a lucrative contract by Jiangsu Suning, should have certainly have been a simple deal, especially at a period where Liverpool really lacked firepower. This failure to get signings done that were not even of a stellar nature, seen again in the Mkhiratyan, Willian, Costa, Konoplyanka, and Remy sagas is frankly a total embarrassment, whilst the failure to convince Sanchez to sign for Liverpool, despite having ownership of the Barcelona courted Luis Suarez at the time was farcical, and either the Liverpool project itself was not attractive enough or the wages were not. Then when you consider Sanchez is currently on a reported ÂŁ130,000 p/w, it would seem that the Liverpool negotiators failed to convince Sanchez and those aforementioned signings of what Liverpool has to offer and what it intends to do in the future. A vindication of the view that the owners are not doing enough for Liverpool, and that Liverpool are declining, and without considerable investment may fall away into the mid-table for good.

Whilst City and United are expected to make signings such as GĂĽndogan, Ibrahimović, Aubameyang, Liverpool are reportedly stuck fussing over small change for Zielinski and unable to definitively attract Mario Götze from Bayern Munich, a player who has been told he is expected to leave. If Liverpool want to perform at the highest level, they will need to buy players of that calibre; perhaps Leicester have disproved that model, but last season was woefully uncompetitive, with Leicester only requiring 77 points to secure the title, and was almost certainly a unique event, dismissing any credence lent to the ‘Leicester model’ thesis. And there is a guarantee that next season will be far more competitve, through the appointments of Conte, Guardiola and Mourinho, all of whom are looking to sign multiple world class players.

Klopp is quite clearly a fantastic manager, but there are limits to what he can do without serious financial backing. In Germany, he won two league titles, but that was for the most part a two horse race, whereas the Premier League next season looks to be at the very least a three-way competition without even considering Liverpool.

Now whilst some of the limitations on Klopp are out of his hands, such as the current prospect of the club to potential signings when compared with the proposition of working with Guardiola or Mourinho in larger stadiums and prettier cities, some are institutional. For example, without any disrespect at all to Divock Origi or Danny Ings, (as he certainly has promise and great potential) but a team with Divock Origi or Danny Ings as their second and third choice strikers cannot and will not win any league titles; as at thier current age and level of experience, they do not yet possess the qualities to fire Liverpool to challenge at the top end of the table. The same can be said of Simon Mignolet, Alberto Moreno, Lucas and multiple other players – they simply are not deemed ‘title winning’ players. To compete at that level, Liverpool would need another striker of Sturridge’s ability, a top class winger of at least international level, as well as an established creative centre midfielder, centre-back and left-back. With all of that, then Liverpool would perhaps have a team with the potential to compete with the top teams in individual games, but even then, further investment would be necessary to increase the depth and quality of the squad to the levels of Liverpool’s competitors.

This is all without even accounting for the strengthening of Arsenal, Chelsea or Spurs, and let alone teams such as West Ham, Southampton and Everton, who are all looking to move into the European qualification positions more consistently. Arsenal for instance have already signed Xhaka, a defensive midfielder who will most likely solve or go a long way to solving their issues in defensive midfield, and have both Ă–zil and Sanchez in attacking midfield, which instantaneously gives them an advantage over Liverpool, whereas Liverpool have Coutinho and Firmino – who are both excellent, but not yet on that world class level. Liverpool need players that are of that level, or at least who will reach that level soon; and that is most likely achieved through fully committed investment from the owners.

One or two key signings in a transfer window is simply not enough, as Benteke and Firmino were last season. Even the most shrewd of businessmen would struggle in the current market to buy top class players on a restricted budget – as shown with Arsene Wenger, who has finally recognised the inability to win league titles without some investment in top level players.

The current policy of the club is to buy promising young players, develop them, and then in a few years have a team ready to win titles. But this is all provisional to Liverpool’s best players staying, and also those top teams not building teams of a galactico nature, (as City, United, and Chelsea, have intended/are doing), and pulling well ahead of the competition.

This not to completely dismiss the policy of buying promising young players and developing them. But that policy must be considered in tandem with a greater policy of moving the club forward simultaneously, as if the club keeps sliding down the table, while top players are sold on, there is simply no chance of success in the long term, as the proposition of joining Liverpool for top players in the future would be a poor one.

It is clearly not about the cost of investment either for the club, which was recently valued at ÂŁ1,042bn by Forbes, and is the recipient of huge cash windfalls from the Premier League. The attitude of the club and its aversion to buying proven top quality and often expensive players must stop. To be at the top, as the fans, the manager and the owners wish for it to be, the club need investment on a scale similar to Manchester City, or risk becoming a permanent bit-part player in the Premier League, let alone Europe.

With all of the above considered, the necessity of a successful and impressive summer transfer window for Liverpool is paramount. Signing one world class player, regardless of their wages, will encourage other players of that level to consider joining the Liverpool FC project to restore itself to past glories. However, consistent seasons outside of the Champions League and without challenging for titles or cups will surely signal the end of any potential world class players joining Liverpool and allowing the club to compete at the top level. If the owners do not act now, and put serious investment into the team, the prospect of success in the future for Liverpool could be a minute one.

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13 COMMENTS

  1. We I am not sure. I think we will compete and win something. Guardiola, Conte and Morinho are still going to build, Klopp by now know what he is got and what he need. He is not a new comer anymore and I trust him to deliver if not next year it will be the other year. Trust me. I think you are overly negative and that’s not good

  2. I hate to say it but it’s all true. We have the possibility of Chinese owners with pockets as deep as City’s owners, even given that the new rules would prevent lots of spending unless again you are City to whom they don’t appear to apply.

    Sorry but we missed the boat when Parry and Moores fiddled the deal with the cowboys to keep their jobs and line their pockets because the Arabs didn’t want them.

  3. Again, the Ssumption is that LFC have not tried to sivn so called world class players…they don’t want to come. It’s a Catch 22…no CL, no top players..no top players, no CL. Agreed, Leicester is an abberation. Plus, you need to consistently be in the CL to attract talent. Leicester is not going to get marquee players just because they made the CL once. No, it’s likely Liverpool will be out of the CL spots for years, if not decades. Klopp will have to pull some serious magic to make it so.

    • I don’t trust FSG one bit,there scrounge and we our tiny Tim asking for a turkey in the transfer windows ( BECAUSE THATS WHAT THESE SHAMBOLIC OWNER FEED US ) GET FSG OUT ASAP !!!

  4. I agree with some of this, we definitely need to buy 3 or 4 top class players just to compete for a place at the top table. Let’s hope Kloppe can work some magic just like Rannieri did.

  5. I disagree with a lot of this to say because city and united now have José and pep that they will dominate is wrong.
    Let’s get some things in prospective here. City will need to buy 4 or 5 new players or maybe more as it’s an ageing team and most won’t play peps style off football and the epl if very different to what he has experienced before. Similar for Jose he will need to buy player however he understands the epl so actually I think it’s more likely he will be more successful than pep. Klopp now knows the league and what it takes to win. He also know who he needs and doesn’t. I do agree that we need investment however the plays we missed out on is not because we don’t have the investment it’s because we have shit negotiators. We always try and get players on the cheap and I think we sometimes do need to bite the bullet if the player is good enough. Like gotze we should offer him big money just to get him in. I think that is what we are going to have to do for the time being. Having said that I think klopp knows what he is doing and what he wants and I for one believe in him as all Liverpool fans should.

  6. Wrong, wrong, wrong ! Liverpool are the 8th richest club in the world. Money is not an issue. However since we aren’t Champions League title contenders, we can’t attract the 6-7 genuine world class players (Suarez, Neymar, Lewy etc.) to our club. BUHU, cry me a river. Waaay more important than money and club status is does your club have a world class manager, with world class tactics. I don’t think you have grasped the difference between Klopps budget and Bayern Munchens budget. What he did with that Dortmund budget, is aboslutely astonishing. LFC are 100 times more richer than Dortmund. Let that sink in. I’ll repeat. LFC are 100 times more richer than Dortmund. Klopp makes world class players, he doesn’t buy them. And the best part is, he’ll be able to keep them in Liverpool :D. We can pay the wages, no problem. Enjoy the Klopp era mate !! I know I will. No more: “where’s the passion?”, “they have no heart”, “they’re not even trying”

    • Nice one @ Bill Wilkens. I don’t think its all abt getting the Ronaldos and Messis lyk City, whc I’m certain, it won’t happen in Liverpool, not when Klopp is still at the helm( he’s reputed for it). Jurgen did it in Dortmund ,having far less to wat we ve got, and taking us to two finals last season wit d level of players at his disposal, . he made us believe; we did enjoy some moments even though we ended up second best. And wit him fully in charge ,It jst gives u more reasons to b optimistic and I cant help but feel success is still within grabs. so Kops, be positive!!!!

  7. What a load of rubbish. FSG have invested nearly 400 million in the squad during their tenure. Far far more than Arsenal, more than Spurs, more than Chelsea and only behind United and City. It has been spent poorly that’s the issue. Rogers brought mediocre players for huge sums. Klopp has his first summer window coming up. He has already signed the impressive looking Matip at CB, the very talented and versitile Grujic (? spelling) for midfield and a new goal keeper who is highly regarded by those that know the game. Klopp takes players that are not world renowned and makes them world beaters. He did it with several playets at Dortmund. Who to say you spend 50 million on a player and he works as well in the team as a 1 million pound player. Look at Leicester. Until the window is done this article is pointless.

  8. I agree with some of what you said. I can’t help but cringe everytime I read Zielinski on my twitter timeline. The lad can’t get any minutes for the Polish national team! We desperately need a top CM to partner Can, but we keep targeting players with potential. Same to be said up top. Gotze isn’t the same player he was at Dortmung and Mane is very inconsistent. Why not get a proven winger since we have the cash? The no Champions League argument is BS. If we pay them enough wages, they’ll come.

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