Report: Liverpool Eyeing “Risky” Move For £34 Million Forward

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Liverpool’s Interest in Federico Chiesa: An Analysis

Anyone else have to check what year it is again? As Liverpool reportedly leads the race to sign Juventus star Federico Chiesa, it’s worth examining the potential transfer. Federico Chiesa, a talented winger, has been linked to Liverpool multiple times since 2021. With the summer transfer window approaching, let’s delve into what’s being said, key statistics, comparisons with current Liverpool players, and the likelihood of this transfer happening.

What’s Been Said

Liverpool are reportedly leading the race to sign Juventus star Federico Chiesa – three years after they were first linked with the Italian. “According to journalist Gianluca Di Marzio, the then 23-year-old was not interested in moving to the Premier League and wanted to stay in Serie A.” However, recent reports indicate a change in circumstances. Teamtalk has highlighted that Liverpool is now in the ‘front row’ to recruit Chiesa, facing competition from Napoli, Roma, AC Milan, and Bayern Munich. Chiesa, known for his remarkable performances at Euro 2020, is now considered more open to a move to the Premier League, making Anfield a potential destination.

Photo: IMAGO

Looking at the Key Stats

Federico Chiesa has had a significant impact at Juventus and on the international stage with Italy. Here are some key statistics from the 2023/24 season:

– Age: 26
– Position: Left Winger
– International Caps/Goals: 45/7
– Appearances this season: 37
– Minutes played: 2,511
– Goals: 10
– Assists: 3

Despite his contributions, Chiesa’s season has been a mixed bag, with notable performance metrics such as Shot-Creating Actions (4.79 per 90), and Progressive Carries (4.41 per 90), ranking him highly among forwards (97th percentile for progressive carries).

Drawing Comparisons

Comparing Chiesa to Liverpool’s Luis Díaz, we find that Chiesa falls short in several key areas. Díaz, despite his struggles, has posted stronger numbers in various metrics:

– xG (Expected Goals): Chiesa – 6.4, Díaz – 11.9
– npxG (Non-Penalty Expected Goals): Chiesa – 5.6, Díaz – 11.9
– xAG (Expected Assisted Goals): Chiesa – 6.2, Díaz – 5.7
– Touches in the Box: Chiesa – 5.48 per 90, Díaz – 7.5 per 90

Luis Díaz outperforms Chiesa in expected goals and touches in the box, highlighting a more consistent threat in front of goal. Given that Díaz himself has had an inconsistent season, this comparison does not bode well for Chiesa’s potential impact at Liverpool.

Likelihood and Fee

Federico Chiesa’s market value stands at €40 million, as per Transfermarkt, with his contract at Juventus expiring in the summer of 2025. However, Juventus have set a price tag of £34 million for the 26-year-old. Considering Chiesa’s injury history and recent form, this fee might seem steep for Liverpool. Given the financial considerations of Chiesa’s huge wage and strategic priorities, Liverpool may be hesitant to make a significant investment in Chiesa. At 26, with a history of injuries, Chiesa represents a considerable risk. Additionally, Liverpool has shown a preference for younger, more versatile talents in recent transfer windows. We wouldn’t set any stock in this one.

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