Goal-count needs factoring into Liverpool betting

Goal-count needs factoring into Liverpool betting

These are good times to be a Liverpool supporter.  The club is flying high in the table, playing some great football and Jurgen Klopp’s team is one that you can have confidence backing in Premier league betting.

The total goal-count in Liverpool’s first 12 Premier League matches of the season stands at 44 which is an impressive rate of 3.67 goals per game (all the more remarkable given that there have been two goalless draws).

Statistically Liverpool lead the way with regards to shots taken, with 225 attempts on goal at a rate of 18.75 shots per match.  We also top the charts when it comes to shots on target, with 88 on target (7.33 per game) being 15 more than any other team.  If you want goal-mouth action, then you really can’t go wrong with Liverpool.

One minor negative is that the Reds have failed to keep a clean sheet in any Premier League victory this season, meaning that all eight wins having featured ‘Over 2.5 Goals’.  From a betting perspective, it’s also worth noting that no fewer than five of those matches have gone over 4.5 goals.  There are clear parallels with 2013-14, when 101 goals were scored, 50 conceded and 13 matches that contained five or more goals.

It certainly makes sense to have a look at the ‘Match Result’ and ‘Total Goals’ markets in tandem when backing Liverpool.  Defensively no team in the top seven has conceded more than our 14 goals and much has been made of the supposed defensive frailties.  However, one factor that shouldn’t be overlooked is that Liverpool have played more away games (seven) than anyone else, including trips to title-rivals Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea.

One of the downsides of supporting a successful team is that backing them comes with increasingly prohibitive odds.  A case in point is the imminent visit of Sunderland, for which Liverpool have been priced-up at around 1/6 (1.17) for the win.  Those are not appealing odds, so it’s worth shopping around for alternative markets.

The Black Cats have found some form of late, but it’s difficult to see how the movement and work-rate of Roberto Firmino, Saido Mane, Philippe Coutinho and Adam Lallana will be contained by a defence led by 35-year-old John O’Shea.

Taken into account with the season’s goal stats, a Liverpool win combined with ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ at 1/2 (1.50) looks better value.  That’s still not a great price, but it’s more attractive than 1/6.

Liverpool to win with ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ is on offer at 23/20 (2.15) and you can back a home victory with ‘Over 4.5 Goals’ at 21/10 (3.10).  An alternative, following the season’s trend, would be to look at ‘Match Result & Both Teams to Score’ market, in which you can get 7/4 (2.75) in early prices for a Liverpool win and yes.

This Liverpool team should continue to score goals and, from a betting perspective, that’s worth taking on board for the matches to come.

Listen to Liverpool FC legends like Jan Molby and Peter Beardsley as well as the best tactical and statistical analysis on Liverpool FC exclusively on AnfieldIndex Pro! Subscribe Now!
Thanks for rating this! Now tell the world how you feel via Twitter. .
How do you feel about this post?
  • Excellent
  • Informative
  • OK
  • Good Read
  • Awesome

Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More Like This

Categories: Liverpool Betting Tips.' 'Tags: Betting Tips, Klopp, LFC, and Liverpool FC.
Published by Anfield Index
Updated: 2016-11-23 15:48:19
97 Views

Listen to Molby, Beardsley and Paul Dalglish talk on AI Pro for FREE!

TRY FREE 7 DAY TRIAL NOW

Holler Box