After a disappointing result and performance last week at the Emirates, Liverpool have a chance to get back on track at Anfield this Saturday against Fulham.
The visitors have endured a difficult start to the season and are just two points above the drop zone. This has resulted in their price to be relegated being slashed to just 5/2 and boss Martin Jol being the 11/10 favourite to be the next Premiership manager to be sacked. In contrast, despite last weekends defeat to Arsenal, Brendan Rodgers’ men have enjoyed their best start to a season since 2008 and are rightfully priced at just 2/7 to continue that with a win on Saturday.
Suarez and Sturridge are still the most in form partnership in the league (Suarez is 7/2 fav to finish as the Premiership’s top scorer) having scored 12 goals in their last 6 starts together. Sturridge has 14 in his last 14 starts so the 5/2 available for him to score two or more against a Fulham defence that have conceded 9 in their last 3 looks a cracking bet.
For those expecting a very comfortable win for the Reds, I wouldn’t put anyone off Liverpool -2 on the handicap which is available at 6/4. Slightly more optimistic would be -3. That would involve the Reds winning by at least 4 goals but at 18/5 that could be tempting. Last week I focused on Liverpool’s great record in the first half of matches. And with Fulham having led at the break just twice in their last 13, I’m going down that road again.
Ten of our last eleven wins have involved us leading at half time, but at 11/20, that offers no price. And even Liverpool to be leading at half time and full-time isn’t much better at 8/11. I like to find a bit more value than.
Liverpool’s last four home wins have involved a great start and breaking the deadlock inside the first quarter of an hour and Hills offer 2/1 for the first goal to be scored on or before the 15th minute.
A few to choose from their, and I couldn’t put anyone off any of the bets highlighted, but I’m expecting a comfortable victory for the Reds so the bet of the day (and it’s surely a cert) is:
Liverpool -2 @ 6/4
Best of the Rest:
Not an awful lot to get excited about this Saturday, but Sunday looks to be a treat with 3 big games, all live on Sky.
The first offering is the midday kick off at White Hart Lane where Spurs entertain Newcastle. AVB made plenty of changes midweek for Tottenham’s Europa League fixture, so despite having less than 40 hours recovery time, I can’t see that being an excuse that’ll wash as I’d expect no more than three players who started on Thursday to be in the first XI at lunch time on Saturday.
Roberto Soldado will most likely come back into the side. The Spaniard has scored 4 league goals since joining Spurs in the summer, but has netted just once from open play (3 penalties). You can get 6/4 on him scoring in a Spurs win. Christian Eriksen has had an impressive start to his Tottenham career. He played 81 minutes in midweek week, but if he starts the 11/4 available for him to score anytime looks a good price.
Tottenham are a much more solid outfit this season, and have kept 7 clean sheets in their 10 league games this season. Only Southampton have conceded less. This would point to a home win and Spurs to win to nil is 8/5.
Just be a bit weary of that one as Newcastle have scored exactly 2 goals in 6 of their last 7, and Loic Remy has an impressive 6 goals in his last 6 league games. With that in mind, Spurs to win and Both teams to score could be better value at 12/5. I’ll be leaving this one alone but if I was pressed to have a bet I’d be looking for value and 9/1 for Remy to score and Newcastle to win looks tempting.
The second game of the day comes form the Stadium of light where Sunderland entertain Man City. City have been in devastating form of late having scored 12 goals in their last 2 games. Aguero has just been crowned player of the month for October and he’s likely to continue that good form. 9/2 for him to score two or more is a decent bet, but it all points to a comfortable City win and they’re available at 13/5 on the handicap with a -2 start. That’s the bet of the weekend. They’re also available at 11/8 to win to nil.
The third on final live game on Sunday is surely the game of the weekend where Man United host league leaders Arsenal. Arsenal’s last two victories (against Liverpool and Dortmund) were by far their most impressive this season. Despite this, the home side are the 7/5 favourites and Arsenal are available at 23/10. Cant see there being many goals in this one. Moyes likes to keep things tight in the big games, even at home (remember the bore draw with Chelsea?). 0-0 is a big price at 6/1 but under 3 goals at 21/20 is a much safer bet and one to throw in your accumulator.
Aaron Ramsey continued his sensationally form this week with the winner against Dortmund following a great strike against Liverpool at the Emirates. It often pays to follow players in form (as mentioned when I topped him to score anytime at 10/3 last week) and he’s available at double figure to open the scoring on Sunday. 10/1 is huge for a player in his form, and even the 7/2 on offer for him to score anytime is a nice bet. Manchester United ‘s form this season is hugely dependant on Robin Van Persian Wayne Rooney. Between them they’ve scored 11 of United’ s 17 league goals and Hills offer 4/1 for them both to score on Sunday.
Treble of the weekend: Pays over 17/1
Liverpool -2 @ 6/4
City -2 @ 13/5
Manchester United/Arsenal under 3 goals @ 21/20