After a breath-taking derby last week, Liverpool travel to Hull this Sunday lunchtime. The last time the two sides met at the KC stadium, the two managers were Iain Dowie and Rafa Benitez and Liverpool’s starting XI included the likes of Mascherano, Kyriakos, El Zhar and Aquilani.
The hosts have won just one of their last games in the league, which is why, despite the visitors not winning any of their previous 3 away games, Liverpool are odds on at 8/13.
As with any game Liverpool play lately, the betting for the game will heavily surround Suarez and Sturridge. Luis Suarez has scored 9 goals in his 7 Premier League games this season, and is available at 3/1 to open the scoring. He’s also the same price to score two or more, and you can get 6/5 on Suarez to score in a Liverpool win.
The other half of the deadly attacking partnership perhaps doesn’t get the recognition of his South American team-mate but Daniel Sturridge also has a superb record this season. The England front man has 8 goals in 11 league games this season, and an impressive 18 goals in 24 league games since he signed for the club in January. He is available at 5/1 to score first and 5/4 to score anytime.
If Liverpool are to record what would be only their third win on the road this season, then a good start will be important. The Reds have had the game all but won by half time in each of their last 3 victories. You can get 11/10 on Liverpool to be leading at half time, which is much better value than the 8/13 available in the outright market. You can get an even better 11/8 on Liverpool to be leading at half time and full-time.
Much was made about how poor the Reds midfield was last week against Everton, but even more worrying is the defensively frailties, highlighted in the fact that we’ve conceded 7 goals in the last 3 away games and kept just one clean sheet in the last 9.
I’d still fancy Rodgers’ men to pick up 3 points on Sunday, despite the fact Hull have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 4 home league games. A difficult game to bet on then, but I think based on Liverpool’s defensive frailties of late, I think the 3/1 available for Both Teams to Score and Liverpool to win offers the best value.
Best of the Rest:
Everton will look to follow-up their impressive performance in the derby last week with a win at home to Stoke at 3pm this Saturday. The Toffees have a superb home record of late, and are unbeaten in their last 18 home league games, a record that dates back 11 months. Stoke have lost just one of their last 6 but are still very much relegation candidates and I can see nothing other than a home win here. Everton are rather short in the 90 minutes market at 6/10, so we’ll look for better value than that.
On loan striker Romelu Lukaku has enjoyed a great start to life at Goodison Park having scored 7 goals in his 8 league games for the Toffees. You can get 3/1 for him to score first on Saturday, and a great bet is the 6/4 on offer for the Belgian striker to score in an Everton win.
Saturdays only live game comes from the Sports Direct Arena where Newcastle host West Brom. The Magpies have a decent record at home this season having lost just one of their six league games and West Brom have won just once on the road this season, that victory coming at Old Trafford.
If the Magpies are to record another home victory over Steve Clarke’s side, then Loic Remy will be important. The Frenchman has scored 8 goals in his last 8 league games, including finding the net in each of his last 3. He’s 6/5 to make that 4 game on the bounce in which he’s found the net, and he’s 9/2 to score first, but with Newcastle’s decent home record, the 3/1 for Remy to score and Newcastle to win is the stand out bet of the day.
The other half of Super Sunday this week is Chelsea v Southampton. Mourinho’s men will look to bounce back from their disappointing midweek defeat against Basel, but will have their work cut out against the high-flying Saints.
Much has been made of Mourinho’s incredible home record in the Premier League (unbeaten in 66 games) and on the basis of that, the 8/15 price available for the Blues doesn’t look un-fair.
However, Southampton have produced their fair share of great performances this season, including winning at Anfield, drawing at old Trafford, and they’ve lost just one of their last 9 league games.
Frank Lampard rolled back the years last week with another match winning display in the blues 3-1 victory over West Ham at Upton Park. If he continues that kind of form, the 13/2 available for him to score first could be very generous, and the 7/2 available for Lampard to score in a
Chelsea win could also be tempting. Having scored 4 in his last 5 league appearances against the Saints, he’ll certainly be the one Pochettino’s men will be keeping an eye on.
Southampton bought very well in the summer and have had an excellent start to the season, but Mourinho’s home league form with Chelsea has been perfect and I won’t be backing against that form line anytime soon and at 8/13, despite a dodgy performance in midweek, they look a fairly safe bet.
Bets of the week:
- Liverpool to win and both teams to score
- Remy to score anytime
- Chelsea to beat Southampton
That treble pays over 13/1
Another great bet is:
- Remy to score and Newcastle to win
- Lukaku to score and Everton to win
That double pays 9/1