Liverpool Poised to Offload Fabio Carvalho: An Inevitable Departure?

In light of David Ornstein’s recent exclusive, it has become increasingly evident that Liverpool is preparing to sell Fabio Carvalho, with a fee around £20 million likely to seal the deal. Carvalho’s performance in pre-season, where he found the net against both Manchester United and Arsenal, has bolstered his prospects, yet his future at Liverpool remains in doubt. With senior squad members like Luis Diaz returning and new signings on the horizon, Carvalho’s chances of securing substantial playing time appear slim.

Fabio Carvalho’s Journey at Liverpool

Carvalho, who joined Liverpool from Fulham in 2022, has demonstrated his potential on numerous occasions. Despite his contributions, including scoring in high-profile pre-season matches, Liverpool’s hierarchy seems inclined to capitalise on his market value. His stats from the previous Championship season underscore his impact: 20 appearances, 9 goals, and 2 assists, showcasing his prowess and potential.

The Game Time Dilemma

Carvalho’s desire for regular first-team action is a critical factor in this narrative. As noted by Ornstein, “The attacker would ideally like to stay, however, his clear priority is game time. He wants to be a key player and not a bit-part contributor, even if it means transferring to a so-called smaller team.” This sentiment highlights Carvalho’s willingness to move to a club where he can play a pivotal role, which seems increasingly unlikely at Liverpool given their current squad depth and tactical setup.

Southampton’s Interest and Transfer Market Dynamics

Southampton’s interest in Carvalho is notable, especially considering their recent £20 million investment in Taylor Harwood-Bellis from Manchester City. Harwood-Bellis, who hasn’t achieved the accolades Carvalho has, sets a benchmark for the potential transfer fee. Southampton’s strategic moves in the transfer market suggest they are keen to bolster their squad with young, promising talents. Carvalho fits this profile perfectly, making a move to the South Coast club a plausible scenario. He’s a year older than Carvalho too, so a £15m bid as reported was never going to be enough.

Tactical Misalignment at Liverpool

Liverpool’s head coach, Arne Slot, has reportedly been impressed with Carvalho’s performances during pre-season. However, Slot sees Carvalho as a left winger, while the player himself prefers the No.10 role. This tactical misalignment is another factor contributing to the likelihood of Carvalho seeking opportunities elsewhere. With Liverpool linked to other wingers like Gordon, and senior players returning, Carvalho’s chances of securing his preferred position seem remote.

Future Prospects and Market Value

As the transfer window progresses, Carvalho’s future remains a hot topic. His market value, currently estimated at €14 million, is expected to rise with continued strong performances. If Liverpool secures a fee closer to the £20 million mark, it would represent a significant return on their investment and provide Carvalho with the platform he desires. Whilst Fabio Carvalho’s talent is undisputed, his journey at Liverpool appears to be nearing an end. The club’s tactical setup, depth in the attacking department, and Carvalho’s quest for regular playing time all point towards an imminent departure. Whether Southampton or another club becomes his new home, one thing is clear: Carvalho’s career is poised for a significant chapter, one where he can truly shine as a key player.